The Taylor Rule

Monetary policy makers often face a trade-off between rules based and discretionary policy formulation. While discretionary policy formulation allows flexibility in responding to unexpected shocks, it can simultaneously create uncertainty and reduce credibility. On the other hand, a systematic, rules based approach anchors expectations regarding future monetary policy, helping to stabilize the economy over time. In 1993, the economist John B. Taylor proposed the Taylor … Continue reading The Taylor Rule

Quantification of Risk in Finance

Quantification of Risk in Finance  While risk may initially seem like an abstract concept, the ability to quantify and  compare the risk which comes with acquisitions and investments is one of the concepts which falls at the heart of modern finance. This allows financial institutions to make decisions regarding investments by providing a metric to compare an investment’s return with the risk it is associated … Continue reading Quantification of Risk in Finance

Testing for Convergence in HICs

Economic growth, most often measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate, is the engine that propels nations from poverty to prosperity. It is the driving force behind rising living standards, the creation of new opportunities, and the expansion of human potential. Yet, the question remains as to how this varies between nations. Will the long-standing economic giants always be ahead or will less … Continue reading Testing for Convergence in HICs

JKP Entry: Can Austerity 2.0 Bring Back Growth?

Can Austerity 2.0 Bring Back Growth and Prosperity to the UK Economy? Introduction In October 2024, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced a £40 billion tax increase, the largest since 1993, aiming to address the UK’s budget deficit and tackle the £22 billion ‘black hole’ from the Tories. Austerity refers to the policies aiming to reduce government deficits via spending cuts or tax hikes. Despite the Labour … Continue reading JKP Entry: Can Austerity 2.0 Bring Back Growth?

Emerging Markets: Is the Risk Worth the Reward?

When considering a country’s economy there are two types: emerging and developing. An emerging economy is characterised by transition in the economy of a nation from a pre-industrial, underdeveloped economic environment into an industrially competitive one which exhibits some, but not all, of the characteristics of a well-developed economy. The term ‘emerging market’ was first used by Antonie Van Agtmael of the International Finance corporation … Continue reading Emerging Markets: Is the Risk Worth the Reward?

Mapping India’s Economy

Mapping India’s Economy: Where It Is and Where It’s Going  “India’s economy is likely to stand firm in an uncertain world”, according to Goldman Sachs. Recently, the nation’s economic climb has been amid the centre of global discussions. Their $3.7 trillion GDP has now surpassed the UK, ranking fifth largest in the world. The quote deduces that in a world of corrupt governments and economic … Continue reading Mapping India’s Economy

The Malthusian Trap of Societal Collapse

Thomas Malthus introduces his theory of population growth, which examines the relationship between the size of a population and the sustenance available to support growth, in his work An Essay on the Principle of Population. Specifically, it posits that population growth can be modelled by a geometric progression and food supply growth by an arithmetic progression. In other words, assuming the abundance of food is beyond … Continue reading The Malthusian Trap of Societal Collapse

Cracks in the Crown: The decline of the UK Economy 

During the 19th century, the UK stood as the preeminent global superpower. From the British Raj in India to the Dominion of Canada, its riches and power were unmatched. Since the height of the empire in 1922, when the UK governed 23% of the world population (458 million people with a domestic population of only 42 million) (Source: Statista), the UK has seen a gradual decline … Continue reading Cracks in the Crown: The decline of the UK Economy 

G7: Going, Going, Gone?

The Group of 7 (G7), containing the countries of Italy, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, the United States, and the United Kingdom is a political and economic forum made up of some of the world’s most historically significant major economies. However, it is worth noting that the G7 excludes two of the world’s economic giants, China and India, which are both among the top five economies … Continue reading G7: Going, Going, Gone?